Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 11.844069 13.641050 15.559985 17.755107 20.189953 22.801217 25.806580
2025-01-26 9.799154 12.201741 14.922177 18.208040 22.045647 26.362029 31.558987
2025-02-02 8.350572 11.110814 14.393278 18.537738 23.580874 29.467198 36.802084
2025-02-09 7.121325 10.065419 13.724294 18.527699 24.582993 31.875545 41.226136
2025-02-16 5.856022 8.787441 12.590981 17.774317 24.529391 32.903753 43.924821
2025-02-23 5.039783 7.985952 11.959616 17.556158 25.063020 34.602550 47.435977
2025-03-02 4.298043 7.188787 11.238624 17.126367 25.242731 35.798490 50.290811
2025-03-09 3.756573 6.610793 10.753197 16.952856 25.712442 37.342148 53.597717
2025-03-16 3.232922 5.993599 10.146228 16.543716 25.804667 38.349166 56.188869
2025-03-23 2.909954 5.651365 9.907213 16.630652 26.567973 40.259821 60.016255
2025-03-30 2.594470 5.282494 9.590137 16.567381 27.092417 41.836018 63.410360
2025-04-06 2.370313 5.041380 9.447952 16.747935 27.962131 43.902709 67.517446
2025-04-13 2.158710 4.800908 9.289909 16.895728 28.792157 45.947155 71.667750
2025-04-20 2.032898 4.702027 9.354358 17.391057 30.155938 48.788270 77.007094
2025-04-27 1.892672 4.558862 9.329501 17.733826 31.289987 51.318453 81.956684
2025-05-04 1.712260 4.314744 9.107908 17.734308 31.882155 53.057918 85.798358
2025-05-11 1.448050 3.864760 8.480518 17.010853 31.289867 53.002400 87.008393
2025-05-18 1.284138 3.602293 8.169731 16.801825 31.499738 54.143636 89.986512
2025-05-25 1.114259 3.301492 7.758942 16.387490 31.347356 54.714179 92.113762
2025-06-01 0.991207 3.089182 7.498528 16.220235 31.587393 55.884583 95.154618
2025-06-08 0.858958 2.833523 7.127873 15.825374 31.420220 56.402928 97.204997
2025-06-15 0.785644 2.713146 7.020886 15.909336 32.065302 58.211077 101.257727
2025-06-22 0.706850 2.565852 6.844111 15.848278 32.451804 59.609712 104.700174